San Francisco Property Values Slide as Sales Volume Wavers in 2023-24 Market

SF’s real estate market shows a decline in average property values from $1.195M to $1.101M (Aug ’23-Jul ’24), variable sale prices, and changing market activity.

authorManuel Martinez
Aug 14, 2024

In recent months, San Francisco’s real estate market has exhibited notable fluctuations that are essential to understanding the current housing landscape. One of the key observations is the consistent decrease in property values, with the average property value dropping from $1,195,000 in August 2023 to $1,101,000 by July 2024. Additionally, the sale price of properties has shown variability, not following a clear upward or downward trend but instead moving sporadically from month to month.

The price per square foot also reflects a slight negative trend, shifting from $964 in September 2023 to $960 by July 2024. In terms of market activity, the number of properties available increased initially but saw a reduction in mid-2024. Similarly, the count of sold properties peaked in May 2024 with 5,304 sales before dropping to 4,891 sales by June 2024. Overall, these trends suggest a cooling in the San Francisco real estate market, emphasizing a decrease in property values alongside somewhat fluctuating transaction volumes.

Monthly Analysis of Property Values and Sales

The average value of properties in January 2024 was reported at $1,098,000 with a price per square foot of $940. By February, there was a slight increase in both values and prices per square foot. However, from April 2024, valued at $1,195,000, to July 2024, valued at $1,101,000, there was a pronounced downward trend, reflecting a decrease by nearly 8%.

In parallel, the sale prices also demonstrate notable points of interest. The average sale price in December 2023 was $1,357,318, which increased slightly over the months, reaching $1,416,938 by July 2024. This fluctuation suggests that while the average property values were decreasing, the properties sold could be fetching higher sale prices possibly due to specific desirable attributes or market conditions favoring sellers during those transactions.

Property and Sales Volume Fluctuations

Focusing on sold homes, there is an evident trend of increasing property listings from January 2024, starting at 184, to May 2024, peaking at 286. This trend reverses in the following months, decreasing to 218 by July 2024. The count of sold properties also peaked in May 2024 at 5,304 sales and witnessed a slight decrease afterwards. This peak may indicate a temporary surge in buyer interest or a seasonally favorable time for selling properties.

Moreover, the average sale price per square foot increased, moving from $979 in December 2023 to $1,015 by July 2024. This increment in sale price per square foot, despite a general decline in average property values, highlights a complex interplay of factors influencing the market, possibly including location desirability, property uniqueness, and general market sentiment.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the recent trends in San Francisco’s real estate market show a general decline in property values amidst fluctuating sale prices and changing market activity volumes. The decrease in average values coupled with the intricate behavior of sale prices and property counts provides a nuanced picture of the market. These trends offer valuable insights for potential buyers, sellers, and real estate professionals navigating the San Francisco housing market.

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